Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.383912 0.446723 0.516188 0.598656 0.693847 0.800232 0.928112
2025-03-16 0.267415 0.347826 0.446598 0.576617 0.743052 0.948754 1.222126
2025-03-23 0.226680 0.319131 0.441455 0.614638 0.852997 1.169000 1.619251
2025-03-30 0.182543 0.274438 0.403740 0.598124 0.882072 1.280728 1.881917
2025-04-06 0.149614 0.238230 0.369792 0.578177 0.898694 1.371534 2.120325
2025-04-13 0.124879 0.209422 0.341146 0.559806 0.912021 1.455094 2.353357
2025-04-20 0.110277 0.193833 0.329836 0.565361 0.960845 1.595307 2.686449
2025-04-27 0.102751 0.188527 0.333820 0.595314 1.051286 1.809525 3.160289
2025-05-04 0.094259 0.180120 0.331135 0.612986 1.122209 1.998020 3.610582
2025-05-11 0.085283 0.169418 0.322807 0.619161 1.172941 2.156286 4.024264
2025-05-18 0.076358 0.157448 0.310465 0.616047 1.205749 2.285231 4.397662
2025-05-25 0.068111 0.145579 0.296682 0.608190 1.228159 2.396562 4.748805
2025-06-01 0.061433 0.136133 0.286760 0.607333 1.265330 2.541940 5.185726
2025-06-08 0.053458 0.122855 0.267550 0.585519 1.258681 2.603253 5.467625
2025-06-15 0.052003 0.123468 0.276993 0.624136 1.379578 2.927974 6.310309
2025-06-22 0.046013 0.113018 0.261508 0.607376 1.381846 3.012266 6.667321
2025-06-29 0.040530 0.102913 0.245428 0.587129 1.373857 3.073717 6.981618
2025-07-06 0.035849 0.094024 0.230911 0.568483 1.366953 3.136162 7.303715
2025-07-13 0.033271 0.089946 0.227043 0.574121 1.415973 3.325493 7.926447
2025-07-20 0.032389 0.090064 0.233207 0.604524 1.526373 3.663105 8.920188
2025-07-27 0.030838 0.088202 0.234265 0.622461 1.608797 3.944714 9.812260
2025-08-03 0.028809 0.084749 0.230872 0.628729 1.663168 4.165909 10.583152
2025-08-10 0.026525 0.080243 0.224171 0.625568 1.693312 4.331832 11.236219